Good analysis today, Gabe, but, as in every 24 hour news cycle, the headlines can change in an instant. I predict in a month or two, Iran will be behind us, Trump will be back on the economy, gas will be dropping and the Market will be back up. Consumers will be in better moods and unemployment will tick downward. All good again.
Interesting info - it's hard to believe that party identification bounces around so much. What does that say about the superficiality of the American voter?
As of now, Trump’s disapproval is driven by Iran and nothing else.
Had he not struck against Iran, the polling would still be tight, and the Iranian regime would still be an irritant, but at least there wouldn’t be international humiliations and domestic price inflation to make his ratings even worse. But now that he has moved against Iran, and Iran has begun its retaliation campaign, there is no counter-pressure that will make things return to normal, even if the active engagement does end tonight. The supply crunches, the price hikes, the Republican doubts about their own president’s judgment—all will remain in place in the morning. And all would have been at least delayed with just a little strategic patience on Trump’s part.
That's just his most recent bone-headed move. Illegal tariffs that now have to be refunded? Mixed signals on Epstein? Failure to support Ukraine while appearing at every turn to ally with Putin? Insulting honorable people upon the occasion of their deaths? Tearing down the East Wing and trying to erect a monstrosity that is 3.5X the size of the White House? Suing the IRS for $10B? Threatening to invade Greenland? Accepting someone else's Nobel Peace Prize medal? Amassing over $1B of incremental net worth in his first year of presidency? I could keep going (for a long time), but it's making me too sad...
Trump acknowledged at the outset that this would probably hurt him politically, but that he felt the danger was so acute that he had to act. One can agree or disagree with whether the danger was that acute (but bear in mind he has a lot more information than we do), but it's not like he went into this blind to the political consequences.
He did. He thought it would be easy, like Venezuela. Iran "doesn't have the cards", and being the coward that he is, Trump cannot even imagine courage in the face of overwhelming odds, like what Ukraine is doing. He was sure they would crumble at the feet of our mighty military superiority.
While the Iran conflict has absolutely done Trump no favors, if he did nothing there would be more press attention on the Epstein files and prices would continue to rise. It’s hard to argue his approval rating would be significantly higher without the Iran conflict.
A little humor today.
We have a new definition of March Madness!
Hi, Gabe. I'm interested to know if you see signs that Trump is trying to intimidate the Supreme Court justices by his presence in the room.
Good analysis today, Gabe, but, as in every 24 hour news cycle, the headlines can change in an instant. I predict in a month or two, Iran will be behind us, Trump will be back on the economy, gas will be dropping and the Market will be back up. Consumers will be in better moods and unemployment will tick downward. All good again.
Good read!
Interesting info - it's hard to believe that party identification bounces around so much. What does that say about the superficiality of the American voter?
As of now, Trump’s disapproval is driven by Iran and nothing else.
Had he not struck against Iran, the polling would still be tight, and the Iranian regime would still be an irritant, but at least there wouldn’t be international humiliations and domestic price inflation to make his ratings even worse. But now that he has moved against Iran, and Iran has begun its retaliation campaign, there is no counter-pressure that will make things return to normal, even if the active engagement does end tonight. The supply crunches, the price hikes, the Republican doubts about their own president’s judgment—all will remain in place in the morning. And all would have been at least delayed with just a little strategic patience on Trump’s part.
That's just his most recent bone-headed move. Illegal tariffs that now have to be refunded? Mixed signals on Epstein? Failure to support Ukraine while appearing at every turn to ally with Putin? Insulting honorable people upon the occasion of their deaths? Tearing down the East Wing and trying to erect a monstrosity that is 3.5X the size of the White House? Suing the IRS for $10B? Threatening to invade Greenland? Accepting someone else's Nobel Peace Prize medal? Amassing over $1B of incremental net worth in his first year of presidency? I could keep going (for a long time), but it's making me too sad...
Trump acknowledged at the outset that this would probably hurt him politically, but that he felt the danger was so acute that he had to act. One can agree or disagree with whether the danger was that acute (but bear in mind he has a lot more information than we do), but it's not like he went into this blind to the political consequences.
He did. He thought it would be easy, like Venezuela. Iran "doesn't have the cards", and being the coward that he is, Trump cannot even imagine courage in the face of overwhelming odds, like what Ukraine is doing. He was sure they would crumble at the feet of our mighty military superiority.
Gas prices have reached $6.45 here in Humboldt County, CA!!!😩
Well, it IS California.
While the Iran conflict has absolutely done Trump no favors, if he did nothing there would be more press attention on the Epstein files and prices would continue to rise. It’s hard to argue his approval rating would be significantly higher without the Iran conflict.
I really hope the underlying reason for bombing another country wasn't just to change the headlines. The close to 2,000 humans dead.
It sucks but what do you expect from the host of The Apprentice?