Trump acknowledged at the outset that this would probably hurt him politically, but that he felt the danger was so acute that he had to act. One can agree or disagree with whether the danger was that acute (but bear in mind he has a lot more information than we do), but it's not like he went into this blind to the political consequences.
He did. He thought it would be easy, like Venezuela. Iran "doesn't have the cards", and being the coward that he is, Trump cannot even imagine courage in the face of overwhelming odds, like what Ukraine is doing. He was sure they would crumble at the feet of our mighty military superiority.
Good analysis today, Gabe, but, as in every 24 hour news cycle, the headlines can change in an instant. I predict in a month or two, Iran will be behind us, Trump will be back on the economy, gas will be dropping and the Market will be back up. Consumers will be in better moods and unemployment will tick downward. All good again.
Maybe, but I think he’s simply exhausted the electorate. They may not bounce back to him, in spite of whatever happens next. Pretty much every one of his policy initiatives has failed. He’s shown that he simply can’t stay focused long enough to carry through any consistent policy, and I think voters will decide that is simply too big a risk to their well-being. But as HL Mencken famously said, “No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people…”
Watched the speech. Sounds like the war will be over at just about the time Trump unveils his health care plan. Soon, real soon. He’s going to be so popular! Popular like nobody has ever seen before.
I can imagine Trump telling us tonight that the war will end in a week; the Strait of Hormuz will open the following week; and gas prices will be under $2.50 the week after that. Only to find out tomorrow that it was all an April Fool's hoax.
I can imagine Trump telling us tonight that the war is ending just so his buddies and relatives can cash in on financial trades before we find out it isn’t ending after all.
Interesting info - it's hard to believe that party identification bounces around so much. What does that say about the superficiality of the American voter?
While the Iran conflict has absolutely done Trump no favors, if he did nothing there would be more press attention on the Epstein files and prices would continue to rise. It’s hard to argue his approval rating would be significantly higher without the Iran conflict.
There there is more oil and gas in the USA now than ever with Venezuela oil he doesn’t need the HORMUS. SO why the price hike! Its manufactured bullshit . Not Trumps fault he invited tucker tot he oil meeting! Said the oil was for the USA!!
I so much appreciate your reporting and the time you take to educate your readers! But my little squirrel brain is always doubly happy when the education includes graphs. 😆
Gas means very little to me. It means more to me that ameican soldiers will die for his warmongering ego. And then a whole list of immoral ineptitude this parasite is engaged in. Gas price is at the bottom of my list. I guess im a poor American.
As of now, Trump’s disapproval is driven by Iran and nothing else.
Had he not struck against Iran, the polling would still be tight, and the Iranian regime would still be an irritant, but at least there wouldn’t be international humiliations and domestic price inflation to make his ratings even worse. But now that he has moved against Iran, and Iran has begun its retaliation campaign, there is no counter-pressure that will make things return to normal, even if the active engagement does end tonight. The supply crunches, the price hikes, the Republican doubts about their own president’s judgment—all will remain in place in the morning. And all would have been at least delayed with just a little strategic patience on Trump’s part.
That's just his most recent bone-headed move. Illegal tariffs that now have to be refunded? Mixed signals on Epstein? Failure to support Ukraine while appearing at every turn to ally with Putin? Insulting honorable people upon the occasion of their deaths? Tearing down the East Wing and trying to erect a monstrosity that is 3.5X the size of the White House? Suing the IRS for $10B? Threatening to invade Greenland? Accepting someone else's Nobel Peace Prize medal? Amassing over $1B of incremental net worth in his first year of presidency? I could keep going (for a long time), but it's making me too sad...
A little humor today.
We have a new definition of March Madness!
Hi, Gabe. I'm interested to know if you see signs that Trump is trying to intimidate the Supreme Court justices by his presence in the room.
Trump acknowledged at the outset that this would probably hurt him politically, but that he felt the danger was so acute that he had to act. One can agree or disagree with whether the danger was that acute (but bear in mind he has a lot more information than we do), but it's not like he went into this blind to the political consequences.
He did. He thought it would be easy, like Venezuela. Iran "doesn't have the cards", and being the coward that he is, Trump cannot even imagine courage in the face of overwhelming odds, like what Ukraine is doing. He was sure they would crumble at the feet of our mighty military superiority.
Good analysis today, Gabe, but, as in every 24 hour news cycle, the headlines can change in an instant. I predict in a month or two, Iran will be behind us, Trump will be back on the economy, gas will be dropping and the Market will be back up. Consumers will be in better moods and unemployment will tick downward. All good again.
Maybe, but I think he’s simply exhausted the electorate. They may not bounce back to him, in spite of whatever happens next. Pretty much every one of his policy initiatives has failed. He’s shown that he simply can’t stay focused long enough to carry through any consistent policy, and I think voters will decide that is simply too big a risk to their well-being. But as HL Mencken famously said, “No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people…”
Watched the speech. Sounds like the war will be over at just about the time Trump unveils his health care plan. Soon, real soon. He’s going to be so popular! Popular like nobody has ever seen before.
Required a bold and confident man. Took us YEARS to find one. Please allow a few weeks for him to fix the planet. He’s well on his way!
And what planet is this? It’s certainly not planet earth.
I can imagine Trump telling us tonight that the war will end in a week; the Strait of Hormuz will open the following week; and gas prices will be under $2.50 the week after that. Only to find out tomorrow that it was all an April Fool's hoax.
I can imagine Trump telling us tonight that the war is ending just so his buddies and relatives can cash in on financial trades before we find out it isn’t ending after all.
Sure was a lot of money made by someone that weekend with the 48 hour ultimatum.
Interesting info - it's hard to believe that party identification bounces around so much. What does that say about the superficiality of the American voter?
I think it says more about how far the Republican party has strayed from the path that most Americans want to travel.
Gas prices have reached $6.45 here in Humboldt County, CA!!!😩
Well, it IS California.
Good read!
While the Iran conflict has absolutely done Trump no favors, if he did nothing there would be more press attention on the Epstein files and prices would continue to rise. It’s hard to argue his approval rating would be significantly higher without the Iran conflict.
I really hope the underlying reason for bombing another country wasn't just to change the headlines. The close to 2,000 humans dead.
It sucks but what do you expect from the host of The Apprentice?
There there is more oil and gas in the USA now than ever with Venezuela oil he doesn’t need the HORMUS. SO why the price hike! Its manufactured bullshit . Not Trumps fault he invited tucker tot he oil meeting! Said the oil was for the USA!!
I so much appreciate your reporting and the time you take to educate your readers! But my little squirrel brain is always doubly happy when the education includes graphs. 😆
Gas means very little to me. It means more to me that ameican soldiers will die for his warmongering ego. And then a whole list of immoral ineptitude this parasite is engaged in. Gas price is at the bottom of my list. I guess im a poor American.
As of now, Trump’s disapproval is driven by Iran and nothing else.
Had he not struck against Iran, the polling would still be tight, and the Iranian regime would still be an irritant, but at least there wouldn’t be international humiliations and domestic price inflation to make his ratings even worse. But now that he has moved against Iran, and Iran has begun its retaliation campaign, there is no counter-pressure that will make things return to normal, even if the active engagement does end tonight. The supply crunches, the price hikes, the Republican doubts about their own president’s judgment—all will remain in place in the morning. And all would have been at least delayed with just a little strategic patience on Trump’s part.
That's just his most recent bone-headed move. Illegal tariffs that now have to be refunded? Mixed signals on Epstein? Failure to support Ukraine while appearing at every turn to ally with Putin? Insulting honorable people upon the occasion of their deaths? Tearing down the East Wing and trying to erect a monstrosity that is 3.5X the size of the White House? Suing the IRS for $10B? Threatening to invade Greenland? Accepting someone else's Nobel Peace Prize medal? Amassing over $1B of incremental net worth in his first year of presidency? I could keep going (for a long time), but it's making me too sad...