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Thursday, September 10, 2015
425 Days until Election Day
35 Days until the 1st Democratic Debate
6 Days until the Next Republican DebateIt's Thursday, September 19 2015, I'm Gabe Fleisher for this Late Start edition of Wake Up To Politics, and reporting from WUTP world HQ in my bedroom - Good morning: THIS IS YOUR WAKE UP CALL!!!
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Capitol Hill News
- Today in the House Originally, House Republicans leaders had planned to spend the day debating the Iran deal disapproval resolution. Then, the Freedom Caucus, made up of the lower chamber’s hard-liners, got involved.
- Conservative members of the House threatened to vote against leadership if the disapproval resolution was brought to the floor, insisting that a resolution of their own be brought instead. GOP leadership caved to the conservatives, meaning the chamber will vote instead on a resolution stating President Obama has broken the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, which forced him to submit the Iran agreement to Congress, which would get 60 days to approve or disapprove the deal.
- Supporters of the new resolution charge that Obama has not submitted a “side deal” between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency – and therefore Congress has not received all agreements between the United States and Iran, and the 60-day clock hasn’t yet begun.
- This whole episode could play out again in the spending fight later this month. Conservatives hope that, once again, leadership will bend to their demands – this time, they want Planned Parenthood defunded. If not, a shutdown is likely. And the whole debacle could end with Speaker John Boehner losing his job.
- Polling Roundup A look at recent 2016 polls:
- Democratic Nomination (Iowa) Could Bernie Sanders be slipping by Hillary Clinton? “People close to Clinton's camp have recently been warning that Sanders could win both Iowa and New Hampshire,” Politico reported Thursday, as a Quinnipiac poll of the Iowa caucuses released shows Sanders in the lead.
- The poll, released this morning, has Sanders at 41%, edging ahead of Clinton’s 40%. Vice President Joe Biden takes 12% of the vote; former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley scored 3%.
- Republican Nomination (National) Trump’s rise continues in a new CNN/ORC poll released Thursday, where he scores the support of 32% of registered Republican voters. CNN’s poll last month had him at 24%.
- Meanwhile, Ben Carson, another political newcomer, came in second with 19%. He jumped 10% from last month’s showing. No other candidates scored double digits: Jeb Bush came in at 9%, Mike Huckabee and Scott Walker took 5%, and then Carly Fiorina, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio all received 3%.
- This is the last national poll that will be taken into account by CNN as the next GOP debate lineup is decided. The primetime lineup, expected to be announced today for Wednesday’s debate, will probably feature Trump, Bush, Walker, Huckabee, Carson, Cruz, Fiorina, Paul, Kasich, and Christie.
- Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, Lindsey Graham, and George Pataki will likely be relegated to the “kiddie table” debate; Jim Gilmore may not qualify for either.
- Campaign Reads Some of the day’s best articles on the 2016 campaign:
- Iran Rally A look at the Cruz/Trump rally, from Mashable
- Clinton vs. Trump The split screen between Clinton and Trump on Iran, from Politico
- Huckablocking That time a Huckabee aide stopped Ted Cruz from speaking at the Kim Davis rally, from BuzzFeed
- SuperPACs Carly for America, acting like Carly for President, from National Journal
- Democratic Plan B? Will a big-name Democrat swoop in and defeat the troubled Hillary Clinton, from the New York Times
- Who Said It, Gilmore Edition Jim Gilmore, the Gilmore Girls, or Happy Gilmore, from BuzzFeed
- “Look at that Face!” Donald Trump made comments about Carly Fiorina’s appearance, according to a Rolling Stone profile. “Look at that face!” the magazine quotes Trump as saying of Fiorina, his only female rival. “Would anyone vote for that? Can you imagine that, the face of our next president?! I mean, she's a woman, and I'm not s'posedta say bad things, but really, folks, come on. Are we serious?”
- In a FOX News interview this morning, Trump would not deny the quote, but said “I’m talking about persona. I’m not talking about look.”
- First to Go Rick Santorum drew a crowd of zero in Iowa, leaving him to sip a milkshake alone. Rick Perry is closing his South Carolina headquarters. Concerns arise about Scott Walker's viability. Will the 2016 field begin to thin? Which GOP presidential candidate will be the first to drop out? Email me (email@example.com), and I'll public your thoughts.
- Quote of the Day My Head of School was discussing use of our school email addresses at Assembly yesterday. His warning: “You never know who will read them,” he said. “Just look at Hillary Clinton.”
White House Watch
- The President’s Schedule President Barack Obama continues his full-court press for votes on the Iran nuclear deal: he has an 11 AM meeting with veterans and Gold Star Mothers today, as well as a 2:05 PM conference call with U.S. Rabbis ahead of Rosh Hashanah. The President is expected to discuss the nuclear agreement with both groups.
- Then, at 3:45 PM, President Obama will award the 2014 National Medal of Arts and the National Humanities Medal, with the list of recipients including author Stephen King and actress Sally Field.
- Biden’s Day Vice President Joe Biden heads to New York City (Hillary Clinton’s home turf) today.
- Biden has a full day planned: an event with Attorney General Loretta Lynch to discuss the backlog of rape kits; an event with New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo on minimum wage, where Cuomo will announce his support for a $15 minimum wage for New York fast food workers; and an appearance on Night 3 of the “Late Show with Stephen Colbert.
Question of the Day
- Tuesday’s Answer On Stephen Colbert’s “Late Show” debut, the trivia question was: Obama was the first U.S. President to appear on a late-night talk show. What show was it?
- The answer: the Tonight Show with Jay Leno.
- GREAT JOB…Jonah Chalem, Marlee Millman, Rick Isserman, and Lisa Clancy!
- Also, GREAT TRY to Marsha Graeber, Peter Baugh, and Levi Asher! Other guesses included: the Late Show with David Letterman, and the Daily Show with Jon Stewart.
- Wednesday’s Answer Yesterday’s trivia question focused on the possibility of a Second Constitutional Convention. The question: which article of the Constitution opens the possibility of a second convention?
- GREAT JOB…Brad Chotiner, Rick Isserman, Joe Bookman, Tobias Gibson, and @kaseyyoungentob (who answered via Twitter)
- HONORABLE MENTION to @amusedlibrarian (dedicated reader Christa Van Herreweghe) who focused on the important question: what will this convention be named? “I propose C^2 v 2.0 (C squared version 2.0),” she tweeted.
- The answer is…Article V (more in tomorrow’s Wake Up!)
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