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Monday, October 27, 2014
8 Days Until Election Day 2014
743 Days Until Election Day 2016
It's Monday, October 27, 2014, I'm Gabe Fleisher for Wake Up To Politics, and reporting from WUTP world HQ in my bedroom - Good morning: THIS IS YOUR WAKE UP CALL!!!
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- Senate Polling Roundup Republicans are marching along on a path to victory, poised to wrench the Senate from eight years of Democratic control. With three Democratic seats sure wins for the GOP (Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia), the party must pick up three more seats to win the Senate. Where will they be?
- Democratic-held seats frequently mentioned as Republican pick-up opportunities are:
- Arkansas, where a NBC News/Marist poll released on Sunday’s “Meet the Press,” shows Rep. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leading Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR) by two points, 45% to 43%. The remaining 12% of the vote is made up by 7% undecided and 5% split between third-party candidates.
- Colorado, where the NBC poll shows a similar story to Arkansas: Once again, a GOP congressman (Cory Gardner) is challenging an incumbent Democrat (Mark Udall) and they are neck-and-neck, with the Republican leading. In Arkansas, the race is at 46% to 45%, with Gardner up by just 1 percentage point. 5% of those polled are undecided, and 3% back a different candidate.
- Iowa is also within the margin of error in the NBC/Marist survey, which polled 49% of likely voters planning to vote for Republican Joni Ernst, compared to 46% for Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley.
- The GOP path to the majority most likely includes these three states, where Republican candidates are all leading within the margin of error. The path could also include North Carolina, which is neck-and-neck, as well as Alaska, Iowa, Louisiana, and even New Hampshire. All of those races, in addition to the aforementioned Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia, are races for seats currently held by Democrats where the Republican candidate is either leading or very close.
- Meanwhile, of the competitive races, just three Republican seats seem possible Democratic pick-ups. Those states are Georgia and Kentucky, where Democratic wins are not even sure bets, and Kansas, where Democrats would only emerge victorious if Independent Greg Orman, the frontrunner, caucuses with them. Even if Democrats win some or all of the these three races, Republicans have more than enough likely pick-ups to erase their impact.
White House Watch
- The President’s Schedule President Obama today will meet with his Advanced Manufacturing Partnership Steering Committee, and unveil new executive actions on manufacturing in a campaign-style event.
- According to USA Today, “The new orders call for re-directing $300 million in federal money to new manufacturing technologies, $100 million for apprenticeship programs, and $150 million to help manufacturers market new technologies.”
- Biden’s Day Vice President Joe Biden will be in the early presidential primary state of Iowa today, not for 2016, but instead campaigning for Democratic Senate candidate Bruce Braley.
- Biden will hold a rally for Rep. Braley, who faces Republican Joni Ernst in the U.S. Senate race next week.
Question of the Day
- Today’s Question Theodore Roosevelt, whose birthday was today, was the first sitting President to ride in an automobile, and the first President to fly in an airplane. Where did he fly in an airplane for the first time (city and state)?
Washington Post publisher Katherine Graham (seated, left) is briefed on her paper’s Watergate reporting by executive editor Ben Bradlee (seated, right), managing editor Howard Simons (seated on desk, right), and Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward (seated on desk, left and center, respectively), the journalistic team termed “Woodstein” by Bradlee.
Photo: Mark Godfrey, April 1973.
White House Watch
- The President’s Schedule At 10 AM, President Obama receives the Presidential Daily Briefing.
- At 3 PM, the President sits down with Ron Klain. This is Klain’s first day as Ebola Response Coordinator, or “Ebola czar”.
- At 4:45 PM, Obama meets with senior advisors.